Archive for December, 2014

GAO ducks on anthrax report just says blah blah stats on DNA testing

December 19, 2014

The long awaited GAO report on the anthrax amerithrax case on FBI patsy Bruce Ivins is a total disappointment.  They falsely claim they were only ever asked to study the statistical properties of estimating genetic mutations.   Oh yeah?  Congress couldn’t even have asked for that, they don’t know enough stats to even think of that as a question to ask.  This was a mistake by GAO.  GAO spent years to learn some stats and then claimed Congress knew enough to ask them to do that.  It didn’t.

Congress asked GAO to report on the case and to show the FBI framed Bruce Ivins after he died in order to dump the case.  Congress did not ask the GAO to write a Ph.D. thesis for a stat department like Berkeley on DNA mutations.

Obviously someone got to GAO and told them not to expose the stitch up of Bruce Ivins.  Who and how?

Despite this or perhaps because of it, the MSM is framing the GAO report as finding that the FBI has gaps in its frame up of Bruce Ivins.

Dxer and Lew Weinstein are playing it straight in their initial reaction.  They must feel the sting of this betrayal.  The GAO was got to and its mandate was changed to a narrow mockery of what it was.

This is like the HSCA Committee on the JFK assassination, except worse. At least the HSCA had sealed files with some of the truth in it.  The GAO report likely has nothing even sealed.


Another way to see this is as follows.  Congress knows GAO would not write a paper on a new estimator for DNA mutations.  So if it wanted that it could have funded that research at universities.  Why have GAO spend years saying someone should come up with the statistical properties of DNA mutation processes in bacteria?  They knew that would be nifty and could have just funded it.

Congress wanted this case analyzed and the science in claiming that Bruce Ivins could have or could not have produced anthrax with properties of silicon tin ratios and so on sent to Congress.  That is what they wanted, not to fund a symposium on DNA statistical properties.  Which as pointed out would not take several years by GAO to recognize as a useful innovation for next time.


Bruce Ivins Foreign Subtilis in mailed anthrax letters Amerithrax

December 19, 2014

The GAO report on Amerithrax and the suicide of Bruce Ivins is due today.

Ed Lake has suggested that the foreign subtilis, never identified, present in some of the first letters was brought in by Bruce Ivins from the outside accidentally and contaminated the growth of the anthrax on solid media in trash bags in the Ed Lake theory.

However, to get into the hot suites, Bruce Ivins had to change his clothes and take a shower just as when leaving.  This was intended to prevent outside contamination of the experiments being done inside the hot suites.  They didn’t want unknown bacteria coming in, being in the growth media and then being applied to the test animals.  They wanted to keep foreign bacteria out almost as much as keeping the anthrax in.

So after Bruce Ivins came into the hot suite he did not have the foreign subtilis on his hands or person or clothes.  So he could not accidentally contaminate the growth plates in the trash bags in the Ed Lake theory.

What makes sense is that some other group or facility did practice runs with the foreign  subtilis and this was left in the batch of letters mailed September 18, 2001.

The J-Lo letter was likely mailed earlier and we don’t know if it contained subtilis or not.  It appeared to represent superior quality work and was mailed prior to September 11, 2001 so as to produce a result at the same time as the airplane attacks.  (Note Ed Lake still disputes the J Lo letter contained anthrax.)

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