The year 2015 is the last year before the US presidential election. Obama is weak and neutralized by the Stanley Fischer nomination and coverup. Israel and Russia may have a deal for Israel to nuke Iran’s nuclear sites. What will Russia do?
Russia could do one (or more) of the following.
- Invade Ukraine.
- Invade a Baltic republic to break NATO.
- Invade South through Central Asia to reach Iran and itself invade Iran. This could go through Caucus or they could go through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan with the support of those countries. Or on both sides of the Caspian. This could end up as a joint Russia Israel strike on Iran.
- Through a proxy group, commit a terrorist spectacular.
- Switch a nuke into a country like Pakistan and use the Pakistan nuke on NYC.
- Double Cross Israel and do it with an Israeli nuke.
- Use the know-how of deep spies in the US to switch a Russian nuke into US arsenal and then use the US nuke on NYC or DC.
- Snowden may have covered for another spy network deep in the US government that has given Russia information on US weaknesses of some type.
- A devastaating cyber attack faked to come from some 3rd party or Anonymous. This could be timed with some other event.
- Incite an Islamic attack on the West.
- Disrupt international oil market to raise price of oil.
Putin believes Obama is weak and this is his best chance. He also believes the US FBI and MI5 are corrupted by political higher ups. The possible killing of Berezovsky and promotion of Stanley Fischer may have been intended to test the integrity of the FBI and MI5. If so, the conclusion was they failed the integrity test. So Russia could so something and Obama would neutralize any response. The FBI and MI5 would go along with it. A sort of Super Rotherham.
This is draft and preliminary. The above is hypotheses and speculation. Comments and corrections welcome. Please restate as questions. All other disclaimers apply.