Archive for the 'Victor Davis Hanson' Category

Victor Davis Hanson Spouts Amnesty Fallacy

January 14, 2008

The Messy Politics of Illegals

By Victor Davis Hanson
The Washington Times | Monday, January 14, 2008

Following comment was posted at Front Page Magazine

1/14/2008 7:06 AM
Name:   Old Atlantic

Subject:    Deport All, Process Time Point Fallacy in Hanson
Comment:    You can’t have an amnesty at a point in time and think this is a once and for all event. Time doesn’t stop. An amnesty is part of a process of amnesty. Its the same for any crime.

There is not a point where people stop committing crime. So you don’t have an amnesty. There are 2 million people in prison in the U.S. too. Are there too many in prison to have been rounded up? How did we round up 2 million people and put them in prison? One at a time.

Wright Island Model Sustained Immigration is genetic replacement immigration.

“We investigated various cases of the island model with stochastic migration. If the population is infinite, the immigrants have a fixed gene frequency and the alleles are neutral, the gene frequency on the island converges to that of the immigrants.”

Genetics. 1979 January; 91(1): 163–176.

The Island Model with Stochastic Migration

Thomas Nagylaki

Department of Biophysics and Theoretical Biology, The University of Chicago, 920 East 58th Street, Chicago, Illinois 60637

As pointed out in a previous post:

The theorem doesn’t say you get a mixture of old and new. The theorem says you get complete replacement of the old by the new. The old goes extinct. This is pure genetic replacement. It doesn’t matter if there is an intermediate mixture or not. Over time, the initial stock is replaced completely. Promises of a mixture are false.


As the Wright Island Model makes clear, all immigration is our genetic extinction.

== Textual Analysis

But the Republican candidates have to watch it, too. If blanket amnesty is a losing issue, so also is mass deportation — the practicality and morality of which are rarely considered by those rightly calling for an end to illegal immigration. Busing every illegal alien back to Mexico right now might resemble the past messy partition of India and Pakistan, and reopen the issue in a way that Democrats can legitimately exploit.

 Actually, the Wright Island Model Theorem proves that immigration is causing our genetic extinction.  We have below replacement fertility.  Men’s median wages are the same as in 1973, women’s median wages are the same as men’s were in 1960.  See p60-233.pdf graph page 16.

But many millions of law-abiding, employed illegal aliens of long residence will wish to stay. We should allow these to remain in the United States while they apply for citizenship — if they are willing to learn promptly our language and customs.

None can stay as pointed out above.

Republican candidates must risk angering their base by ruling out mass deportation.

Republican candidates are extincting their base.

Democrats should support closing the border tightly and quickly — and not cave in to open-borders groups.

Democrats are extincting their base too.  Something that base may wake up to.  Black men’s labor force participation rate was 80 percent in 1965 the same as white men.  Now white men are at 74 and black men at 66.  Obama supports that.

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